Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Lecce |
43.57% ( 0.03) | 25.92% ( -0.29) | 30.52% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% ( 1.27) | 51.12% ( -1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% ( 1.11) | 72.97% ( -1.11) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.57) | 23.34% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 0.83) | 57.3% ( -0.83) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.83) | 30.91% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( 0.96) | 67.2% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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