Czech Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Strelnice

Jablonec
1 - 2
Plzen

Chramosta (73')
Kratochvil (29'), Latal (55'), Polidar (57'), Soucek (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hejda (20'), Chory (84')
Hranac (52'), Chory (55'), Cerv (62'), Sulc (68'), Kalvach (76')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between FK Baumit Jablonec and Viktoria Plzen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 Jablonec
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 0-0 Servette (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
FK Baumit JablonecDrawViktoria Plzen
30.94% (-0.736 -0.74)26.18% (0.108 0.11)42.88% (0.635 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.33% (-0.638 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.684 -0.68)52.02% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.596 -0.6)73.76% (0.602 0.6)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.851 -0.85)31.07% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-1.009 -1.01)67.39% (1.016 1.02)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.08% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.021999999999998 0.02)58.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FK Baumit Jablonec 30.94%
    Viktoria Plzen 42.88%
    Draw 26.18%
FK Baumit JablonecDrawViktoria Plzen
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.94%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.65% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.88%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Plzen
3-2
Jablonec
Jirka (22' pen.), Mosquera (38'), Vydra (46')
Durosinmi (36'), Mosquera (40'), Sulc (90+3')
Krulich (30'), Chramosta (34')
Latal (45+1'), Hurtado (84'), Kratochvil (90+9')