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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Lazovic (13' pen.), Noslin (59')
Coppola (46'), Folorunsho (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Brugge
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
22.93% (-1.137 -1.14)26.43% (0.42 0.42)50.64% (0.716 0.72)
Both teams to score 45.62% (-2.322 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22% (-2.426 -2.43)57.78% (2.426 2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48% (-1.952 -1.95)78.52% (1.951 1.95)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (-2.447 -2.45)40.81% (2.446 2.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (-2.267 -2.27)77.38% (2.266 2.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.708 -0.71)22.93% (0.708 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-1.052 -1.05)56.7% (1.052 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 22.93%
    Fiorentina 50.63%
    Draw 26.43%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.218 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.93%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.832 0.83)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 13.78% (0.96 0.96)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.497 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.98% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.63%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona
34.6%
Draw
26.9%
Fiorentina
38.5%
78
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-0
Hellas Verona
Beltran (78')
Terracciano (2'), Biraghi (36'), Barak (65')

Dawidowicz (67')
Feb 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hellas Verona
0-3
Fiorentina
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Hellas Verona
1-1
Fiorentina
Lasagna (17')
Caprari (46'), Ilic (47')
Castrovilli (81')
Terzic (84')
rhs 2.0


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