Serie A Gameweek 35
Hellas Verona
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina
  • Darko Lazovic 13' goal
  • Diego Coppola 46' yellowcard
  • Tijanni Noslin 59' goal
  • Michael Folorunsho 79' yellowcard
  • goal Gaetano Castrovilli 42'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 77'

Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Cyril Ngonge

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 7.45pm
Fiorentina 5 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result

Hellas Verona 22.93% ▼ (-1.14)
Draw 26.43% ▲ (+0.42)
Fiorentina 50.64% ▲ (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.62% ▼ (-2.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.22% ▼ (-2.43)
Under 2.5 57.78% ▲ (+2.43)
Over 3.5 21.48% ▼ (-1.96)
Under 3.5 78.52% ▲ (+1.96)
Over 4.5 9.2% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 4.5 90.8% ▲ (+1.18)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5 59.19% ▼ (-2.45)
Under 0.5 40.81% ▲ (+2.45)
Over 1.5 22.61% ▼ (-2.27)
Under 1.5 77.38% ▲ (+2.27)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 0.5 22.93% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 1.5 43.3% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 1.5 56.7% ▲ (+1.06)

Score analysis

Hellas Verona 22.93%
Draw 26.43%
Fiorentina 50.63%
Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.84)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.43%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 13.78% ▲ (+0.96)
0-2 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.50)
1-2 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.22)
0-4 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.63%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Hellas Verona
  • Pietro Terracciano 2' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Biraghi 36' yellowcard
  • Antonin Barak 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beltran 78' goal
  • yellowcard Pawel Dawidowicz 67'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Hellas Verona
Feb 27, 2023 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina
  • goal Antonin Barak 12'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 38'
  • goal Cristiano Biraghi 89'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
Sep 18, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Hellas Verona
  • Jonathan Ikone 13' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90' goal
Serie A Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
Mar 6, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Hellas Verona
  • Krzysztof Piatek 10' goal
  • Vincenzo Italiano 86' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Caprari 20'
  • yellowcard Koray Gunter 37'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Simeone 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Ceccherini 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bessa 82'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Hellas Verona
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Kevin Lasagna 17' goal
  • Gianluca Caprari 46' yellowcard
  • Ivan Ilic 47' yellowcard
  • goal Gaetano Castrovilli 81'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Terzic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Hellas Verona
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Fiorentina
  • Koray Gunter 68' yellowcard
  • Eddie Salcedo 72' goal
  • Stefano Sturaro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 19'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 45'+2'
  • goal Martin Caceres 65'
  • yellowcard Christian Kouame 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 90'+5'

Form Data

Lazio 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 1 - 0 Udinese
Atalanta 2 - 2 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Genoa
Cagliari 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Brugge
Fiorentina 5 - 1 Sassuolo
Atalanta 4 - 1 Fiorentina
Salernitana 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 0 Plzen
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Genoa