Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 22.93% ( | 26.43% ( | 50.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% ( | 57.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( | 78.52% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( | 40.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( | 77.38% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( | 22.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( | 56.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 3-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 13.78% ( 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.63% |