Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.