Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.34%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.