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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Fiorentina logo

Salernitana
0 - 2
Fiorentina


Basic (45'), Candreva (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kouame (80'), Ikone (90+5')
Lopez (18'), Sottil (45'), Ranieri (47'), Martinez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Fiorentina

No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
18.73% (0.716 0.72) 22.54% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 58.74% (-0.805 -0.81)
Both teams to score 51.03% (1.001 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (0.678 0.68)47.57% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.624 0.62)69.77% (-0.622 -0.62)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (1.217 1.22)39.35% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (1.115 1.12)76.05% (-1.113 -1.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.86% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)45.07% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 18.73%
    Fiorentina 58.74%
    Draw 22.53%
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 5% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 10.58% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.49% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.74%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Fiorentina

Salernitana
27.3%
Draw
21.2%
Fiorentina
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
3-0
Salernitana
Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')
May 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 33
Salernitana
3-3
Fiorentina
Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Napoli371313115548752
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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