Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Felipe Anderson 7' goal
  • Matias Vecino 14' goal
  • Felipe Anderson 35' goal
  • Gustav Isaksen 87' goal
  • goal Loum Tchaouna 16'
  • yellowcard Lassana Coulibaly 36'

Lazio vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 5.00pm
Roma 1 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ciro Immobile

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Salernitana 2 - 2 Sassuolo
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Antonio Candreva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result

Lazio 69.12% (-0.08)
Draw 19.9% (+0.06)
Salernitana 10.99% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.52% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.45% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 51.55% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 26.66% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 73.34% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 12.42% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 87.58% (+0.09)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 86.14% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 13.86% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 58.75% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 41.25% (+0.14)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 47.04% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 52.96% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 13.38% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 86.62% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lazio 69.11%
Draw 19.9%
Salernitana 10.99%
Lazio
1-0 @ 14.5% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 14.33% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.44% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.66% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 19.9%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 4.67% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 10.99%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Norbert Gyomber 42' yellowcard
  • Flavius Daniliuc 53' yellowcard
  • Grigoris Kastanos 55' goal
  • Filippo Inzaghi 65' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candreva 66' goal
  • Giulio Maggiore 84' yellowcard
  • Federico Fazio 88' yellowcard
  • Lassana Coulibaly 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 32'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 43'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 79'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Arechi
  • goal Ciro Immobile 60'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 69'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mattia Zaccagni 41' goal
  • goal Antonio Candreva 51'
  • goal Federico Fazio 68'
  • goal Boulaye Dia 76'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Andrea Schiavone 41' yellowcard
  • Luca Ranieri 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 7'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 10'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 28'
  • goal Manuel Lazzari 66'
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 66'
  • yellowcard Luiz Felipe 69'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Danilo Cataldi 11' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 31' goal
  • Pedro 36' goal
  • Luis Alberto 69' goal
  • yellowcard Norbert Gyomber 9'
  • yellowcard Joel Obi 55'