/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Daniele De Rossi
22'
-
Gianluca Mancini
42'
-
Gianluca Mancini
55'
-
Zeki Celik
68'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
80'
-
Leandro Paredes
81'
-
Romelu Lukaku
90'+3'
-
Romelu Lukaku
90'+6'
-
Matias Vecino
21'
-
Pedro
73'
-
Valentin Castellanos
75'
Roma vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F08%2Fdaniele-de-rossi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.
Result
Roma
57%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
22.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Lazio
20.19%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
52.6%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.3%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
46.7%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
31.04%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
68.96%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
15.39%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
84.61%
▲
(+0.11)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
83.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
16.15%
Over 1.5
54.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
45.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
62.73%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
37.27%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
25.95%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
74.05%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Roma
56.99%
Draw
22.81%
Lazio
20.19%
Roma
1-0
@
10.97%
▲
(+0.08)
2-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.99%
2-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.99%
Draw
1-1
@
10.83%
0-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.81%
0-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.81%
Lazio
0-1
@
5.94%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 20.19%
