/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsaslog.png)
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Lorenzo Pellegrini
50'
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Lorenzo Pellegrini
59'
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Sardar Azmoun
89'
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Martin Erlic
90'
Roma vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
64.81%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
19.62%
▲
(+0.06)
Sassuolo
15.57%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
54.18%
▼
(-0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.88%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 2.5
40.12%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 3.5
37.51%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 3.5
62.49%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 4.5
20.17%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 4.5
79.82%
▲
(+0.57)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
88.35%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
11.65%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
63.3%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
36.7%
▲
(+0.35)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5
61.32%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 0.5
38.68%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 1.5
24.58%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
75.41%
▲
(+0.69)
Score analysis
Roma
64.81%
Draw
19.62%
Sassuolo
15.57%
Roma
2-0
@
10.41%
▲
(+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.81%
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.81%
Draw
1-1
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
Sassuolo
1-2
@
4.37%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.57%
0-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.57%
