Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Roma |
| 26.96% ( | 26.16% ( | 46.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( | 53.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( | 75.36% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( | 35.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( | 71.81% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( | 22.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 3-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.87% |