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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Roma


Piccoli (38'), Baschirotto (45'), Ramadani (81')
FT

N'Dicka (11'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 17 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Roma

Despite optimism after Gotti secured success on his Lecce bow, Roma's momentum under De Rossi and the precedent in this fixture should see the Giallorossi claim their eighth Serie A win since January's managerial change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
26.96% (0.518 0.52) 26.16% (-0.052 -0.05) 46.88% (-0.465 -0.46)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.541 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.51 0.51)53.9% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.427 0.43)75.36% (-0.426 -0.43)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.702 0.7)35.06% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.728 0.73)71.81% (-0.727 -0.73)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.96%
    Roma 46.87%
    Draw 26.15%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
9.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
80.3%
137
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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