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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Roma


Piccoli (38'), Baschirotto (45'), Ramadani (81')
FT

N'Dicka (11'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
26.96% (0.518 0.52)26.16% (-0.052 -0.05)46.88% (-0.465 -0.46)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.541 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.51 0.51)53.9% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.427 0.43)75.36% (-0.426 -0.43)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.702 0.7)35.06% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.728 0.73)71.81% (-0.727 -0.73)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.96%
    Roma 46.87%
    Draw 26.15%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
9.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
80.3%
137
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')