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Serie A

Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Lecce logo

Salernitana
0 - 1
Lecce


Coulibaly (30'), Maggiore (45'), Pirola (73'), Zanoli (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyomber (17' og.)
Ramadani (49'), Piccoli (54'), Pongracic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawLecce
32.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09)26.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)41.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.2 0.2)52.99% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.171 0.17)74.58% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.163 0.16)30.75% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.192 0.19)67.01% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.04% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.13%
    Lecce 41.35%
    Draw 26.5%
SalernitanaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.35%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Lecce

Salernitana
32.3%
Draw
33.9%
Lecce
33.9%
62
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Krstovic (6'), Espeto (90+8' pen.)
Kaba (30'), Banda (42'), Gonzalez (90+4'), D'Aversa (90')

Lovato (17'), Legowski (76'), Bohinen (83')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-2
Salernitana
Espeto (23')
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')