Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Gianluca Lapadula 12' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 40' goal
  • Eldor Shomurodov 51' goal
  • Tommaso Augello 70' yellowcard
  • Eldor Shomurodov 76' goal
  • goal Grigoris Kastanos 56'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 58'
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 73'
  • yellowcard Junior Sambia 85'

Cagliari vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 2.00pm
Udinese 1 - 1 Salernitana
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Antonio Candreva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 57.52% (-0.09)
Draw 23.9% (-0.03)
Salernitana 18.57% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.73% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.81% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 53.18% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 25.25% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 74.75% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 11.51% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 88.48% (-0.12)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 81.7% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 18.3% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 50.62% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 49.37% (-0.09)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 57.2% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 42.8% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 20.87% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 79.12% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Cagliari 57.52%
Draw 23.89%
Salernitana 18.57%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.89%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.82% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.57%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Grigoris Kastanos 52' yellowcard
  • Agustin Martegani 79' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 86' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 90'+5' goal
  • Norbert Gyomber 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 71'
  • goal Zito Luvumbo 79'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 80'
  • goal Nicolas Viola 88'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 89'
  • yellowcard Antoine Makoumbou 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emil Bohinen 55' yellowcard
  • Simone Verdi 68' goal
  • Franck Ribery 69' redcard
  • Nadir Zortea 84' yellowcard
  • Ivan Radovanovic 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Perotti 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Norbert Gyomber 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 63'
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 67'
  • redcard Boris Radunovic 73'
  • goal Giorgio Altare 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alberto Grassi 27' yellowcard
  • Dalbert Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 73' goal
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frederic Veseli 84'
  • goal Federico Bonazzoli 90'