Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
4 - 2
Salernitana

Lapadula (12'), Gaetano (40'), Shomurodov (51', 76')
Augello (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kastanos (56'), Maggiore (58')
Kastanos (73'), Sambia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Salernitana
57.52% ( -0.08)	23.9% ( -0.02)	18.57% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.81% (

0.22)

53.18% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.25% (

0.19)

74.75% (

-0.19)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

0.05)

18.3% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

0.09)

49.37% (

-0.09)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.2% (

0.26)

42.8% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87% (

0.22)

79.12% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 57.52%

Salernitana 18.57%

Draw 23.89%

Cagliari	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.52%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.57%