Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 1, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
3 - 0
Salernitana

Orsolini (14'), Saelemaekers (44'), Lykogiannis (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pierozzi (16'), Candreva (45+1'), Tchaouna (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Bologna
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Salernitana
72.09% ( 0.07)	18.03% ( -0.03)	9.87% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.2% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06% (

0.02)

46.94% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81% (

0.02)

69.19% (

-0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

0.03)

11.64% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.34% (

0.05)

36.66% (

-0.06)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.75% (

-0.06)

52.25% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.83% (

-0.04)

86.16% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Bologna 72.08%

Salernitana 9.87%

Draw 18.03%

Bologna	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.07% 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 72.08%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.03%	0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.87%