Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 9.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.