Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Inter Milan |
28.33% ( -0.16) | 27.81% ( -0.08) | 43.86% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 46.22% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.78% ( 0.21) | 59.22% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.36% ( 0.16) | 79.64% ( -0.16) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.17% ( -0.01) | 36.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% ( -0.01) | 73.61% ( 0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.22) | 26.83% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( 0.29) | 62.13% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.33% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |