Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 1
Bologna

Luperto (28'), Pezzella (30'), Maleh (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fabbian (90+4')
Freuler (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Inter Milan
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Bologna
31.69% ( -0.07)	26.66% ( 0)	41.65% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

-0.03)

53.72% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

-0.02)

75.21% (

0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-0.07)

31.42% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

-0.08)

67.8% (

0.08)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

0.03)

25.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

0.03)

60.29% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Empoli 31.69%

Bologna 41.65%

Draw 26.66%

Empoli	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.69%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.65%