Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 32.74% ( | 24.71% ( | 42.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( | 45.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( | 67.41% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( | 61.62% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( | 21.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( | 54.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.56% |