Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 15, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Genoa

Belotti (25'), Ikone (54')
Ranieri (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gudmundsson (42' pen.)
Spence (63'), Bani (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Plzen 0-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 11 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, April 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Genoa
56.43% ( 1.19)	23.96% ( -0.07)	19.61% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-1.05)

52.08% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.92)

73.81% (

0.92)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

0.05)

18.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.63% (

0.09)

49.37% (

-0.09)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.01% (

-1.8)

40.99% (

1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

-1.65)

77.55% (

1.65)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 56.42%

Genoa 19.61%

Draw 23.96%

Fiorentina	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.42%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.96%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.61%