Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.