Coppa Italia
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-
Teun Koopmeiners
8'
-
Sead Kolasinac
56'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
75'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
80'
-
Ademola Lookman
90'+4'
-
Mario Pasalic
90'+8'
-
Rolando Mandragora
43'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
53'
-
Lucas Martinez
68'
-
Dodo
69'
Atalanta BC vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
41.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
25.56%
Fiorentina
33.21%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.27%
Under 2.5
48.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
29.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
70.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
14.09%
Under 4.5
85.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
76.55%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
23.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
42.54%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
57.45%
▼
(-0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
72.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
27.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
36.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
63.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
41.23%
Draw
25.56%
Fiorentina
33.21%
Atalanta BC
1-0
@
9.5%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 41.23%
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 41.23%
Draw
1-1
@
12.11%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.56%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.56%
Fiorentina
0-1
@
8.35%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.21%
1-2 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.21%
Head to Head
Coppa Italia
-
Rolando Mandragora
31'
-
Rolando Mandragora
55'
-
Christian Kouame
81'
-
Aleksei Miranchuk
29'
-
Marten de Roon
78'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
4
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
35'
-
Lucas Martinez
45'
-
Christian Kouame
76'
-
Fabiano Parisi
87'
-
Teun Koopmeiners
20'
-
Marten de Roon
34'
-
Ademola Lookman
53'
-
Nadir Zortea
65'
Serie A
Gameweek
30
-
Arthur Cabral
56'
-
Joakim Maehle
37'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Ademola Lookman
59'
Serie A
Gameweek
26
-
Nikola Milenkovic
15'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
56'
-
Sofyan Amrabat
73'
-
Berat Djimsiti
13'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
45'+1'
-
Merih Demiral
45'+2'
-
Gian Piero Gasperini
64'
-
Rafael Toloi
74'
-
Marco Sportiello
90'+6'
Coppa Italia
-
Marten de Roon
7'
-
Davide Zappacosta
30'
-
Mario Pasalic
32'
-
Jeremie Boga
56'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
9'
-
Igor Julio
38'
-
Lucas Martinez
45'+1'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
71'
-
Lucas Martinez
79'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
90'+3'