Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 2
Atalanta

Maldini (89')
Birindelli (3'), Izzo (66'), Bondo (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

De Ketelaere (44'), Bilal Toure (72')
Djimsiti (83'), Hien (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Monza
Saturday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Liverpool
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
30.99% ( 0.02)	25.2% ( -0.17)	43.81% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 55.53% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

0.76)

47.88% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

0.7)

70.06% (

-0.69)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

0.39)

28.95% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

0.48)

64.83% (

-0.48)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

0.4)

21.84% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

0.6)

55.07% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Monza 30.99%

Atalanta BC 43.81%

Draw 25.19%

Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.99%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.81%