Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Monza |
| 56.12% ( | 23.93% ( | 19.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( | 51.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( | 73.33% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( | 18.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( | 49.22% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% ( | 40.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.08% ( | 76.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 19.95% |