Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.