Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Monza |
| 45.72% ( | 26.98% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% ( | 56.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( | 77.7% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( | 24.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( | 59.34% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( | 36.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( | 73.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 9% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.3% |