Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Armando Izzo 30' yellowcard
  • Daniel Maldini 42' goal
  • Warren Bondo 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 59'

Monza vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 7.45pm
Genoa 2 - 3 Monza
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrea Colpani

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 2.00pm
Cagliari 4 - 2 Salernitana
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.

Result

Monza 43.36% (-0.06)
Draw 25.13% (-0.01)
Cagliari 31.5% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.98% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.6% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.39% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.61% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.94% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.05% (-0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 78.16% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.84% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.93% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.06% (+0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 71.63% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.37% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.89% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.11% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Monza 43.36%
Draw 25.13%
Cagliari 31.5%
Monza
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 7.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 31.5%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alberto Dossena 10' goal
  • Matteo Prati 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuele Birindelli 48'
  • goal Mirko Maric 61'
  • yellowcard Pepin 69'