Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2024 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 0
Cagliari

Maldini (42')
Izzo (30'), Bondo (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Deiola (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-3 Monza
Saturday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Cagliari
43.36% ( -0.05)	25.13% ( -0.01)	31.5% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6% (

0.04)

47.39% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.39% (

0.03)

69.61% (

-0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.01)

21.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.02)

55.06% (

0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.05)

28.37% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

0.07)

64.11% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Monza 43.36%

Cagliari 31.5%

Draw 25.13%

Monza	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.36%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.5%