Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.