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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 18.21% ( | 19.38% ( | 62.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.11% ( | 33.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.26% ( | 55.74% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( | 31.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( | 68.21% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.55% ( | 10.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.94% ( | 34.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.93% ( 1-0 @ 3.81% ( 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 3-1 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 7.31% ( 0-3 @ 6.38% 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 1-4 @ 4.13% ( 0-4 @ 3.6% ( 2-4 @ 2.37% ( 1-5 @ 1.86% ( 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 2-5 @ 1.07% ( 3-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 62.41% |