Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Sierhuis (75')
Ozyakup (37'), Siovas (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rober (59')
Verdonk (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Sittard
Saturday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for NEC had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	NEC
46.02% ( -0.13)	22.9% ( 0.02)	31.08% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 63.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81% (

-0.03)

37.19% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.61% (

-0.04)

59.39% (

0.03)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

-0.06)

16.6% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

-0.11)

46.4% (

0.11)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

0.05)

23.63% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

0.07)

57.72% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 46.02%

NEC 31.08%

Draw 22.9%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 46.02%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.08%