AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Excelsior

Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior

Lonwijk (13'), Sierhuis (15', 29', 34'), Guth (68')
Lonwijk (2'), Pinto (62')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Sanches Fernandes (61'), Omorowa (82')
Baas (36'), Zagre (58'), Uddenas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
52.11% (0.29 0.29)22.56% (-0.183 -0.18)25.33% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (0.757 0.76)39.73% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (0.782 0.78)62.08% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (0.36999999999999 0.37)15.36% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (0.688 0.69)44.14% (-0.687 -0.69)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.322 0.32)28.81% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.4 0.4)64.66% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 52.11%
    SBV Excelsior 25.33%
    Draw 22.56%
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Sittard vs Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
2-2
Sittard
Agrafiotis (30'), Uddenas (73')
Baas (76')
Duarte (68'), Menaour Belkheir (78')
Dijks (26'), Guth (64'), Buijs (90+4')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
3-0
Sittard
Pierie (59'), Driouech (73'), Goudmijn (85')
Azarkan (49')

Embalo (55'), Cox (58')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sittard
1-0
Excelsior
Vita (87')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 21
Sittard
4-1
Excelsior
Lamprou (13', 33'), Diemers (64'), Novakovich (90')
Ciranni (77'), Rodriguez (94')
Messaoud (55')
Fortes (25'), Oude Kotte (32')
Aug 11, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Excelsior
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (32')
Koolwijk (22'), Schouten (79'), Mattheij (93')
Bruins (57')
Smeets (53')
Heerings (72')