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Justin Lonwijk
2'
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Justin Lonwijk
13'
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Kaj Sierhuis
15'
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Kaj Sierhuis
29'
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Kaj Sierhuis
34'
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Ivo Pinto
62'
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Rodrigo Guth
68'
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Julian Baas
36'
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Arthur Zagre
58'
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Derensili Sanches Fernandes
61'
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Richie Omorowa
82'
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Oscar Uddenas
90'+2'
Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Fortuna Sittard Goals
SBV Excelsior Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.11%
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.33%
