Eredivisie
Gameweek
23
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-
Lance Duijvestijn
46'
-
Paxten Aaronson
53'
-
Melle Meulensteen
69'
-
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin
86'
SBV Excelsior vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result
SBV Excelsior
32.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
25.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Vitesse
42.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
55.67%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
47.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
29.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
70.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
14.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
85.4%
▲
(+0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5
71.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
28.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
36.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
63.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
77.56%
Under 0.5
22.44%
Over 1.5
44.03%
Under 1.5
55.97%
Score analysis
SBV Excelsior
32.12%
Draw
25.3%
Vitesse
42.58%
SBV Excelsior
1-0
@
8.01%
2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.12%
2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.12%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
Vitesse
0-1
@
9.46%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.58%
1-2 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.58%
Sondre Tronstad
90'+6'