Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
1 - 2
Vitesse

Duijvestijn (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aaronson (53'), Isimat-Mirin (86')
Meulensteen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 4-2 Excelsior
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 Volendam
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Vitesse
32.12% ( -0.01)	25.3% ( 0)	42.58% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

-0.01)

47.92% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

-0.01)

70.1% (

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.01)

28.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.01)

63.93% (

0.01)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56%

22.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03%

55.97%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 32.12%

Vitesse 42.58%

Draw 25.3%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.58%