AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Twente logo

Excelsior
0 - 3
FC Twente


Sandra (53')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rots (2'), van Wolfswinkel (5', 13')
Brenet (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

FC Twente

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Twente
20.1% (0.185 0.18)21.17% (0.131 0.13)58.73% (-0.315 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.03% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-0.338 -0.34)39.44% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)61.78% (0.357 0.36)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.17% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)69.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)13.16% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.412 -0.41)39.85% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 20.11%
    FC Twente 58.73%
    Draw 21.17%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.11%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.7% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.07% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 3.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 58.73%

How you voted: Excelsior vs FC Twente

SBV Excelsior
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
FC Twente
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
FC Twente
4-2
Excelsior
Ugalde (45'), Van Wolfswinkel (59' pen., 80'), Taha (85')
Smal (67'), Propper (77')
Parrott (9'), Nieuwpoort (13')
Naujoks (24'), Dijkhuizen (25'), Driouech (26'), Horemans (57'), Nieuwpoort (59')
Zagre (24')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 27
Excelsior
0-0
FC Twente
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
FC Twente
4-0
Excelsior
Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Excelsior
0-0
FC Twente
Koolwijk (54')
Cuevas (26'), Lam (85')
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')