Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.