Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2024 at 7pm UK

Kras Stadion

Volendam
2 - 5
Nijmegen

Semedo (49'), Booth (86')
de Haan (89'), Flint (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hansen (11'), Sano (31'), Sow (41'), Rober (78'), Olden Larsen (90')
Baas (61'), Rober (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Nijmegen
Tuesday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	NEC
21.35% ( -0.03)	21.61% ( 0.14)	57.04% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.47% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21% (

-0.7)

39.79% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.86% (

-0.73)

62.14% (

0.73)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81% (

-0.43)

32.19% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.32% (

-0.49)

68.68% (

0.49)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

-0.27)

13.78% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.9% (

-0.53)

41.1% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 21.35%

NEC 57.04%

Draw 21.61%

FC Volendam	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.35%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.04%