MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 23:51:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Fortuna Sittard

Sparta
4 - 0
Sittard

Verschueren (28'), Lauritsen (58', 88'), Neghli (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard showed plenty of encouraging signs before the break, while their hosts struggled despite a creditable draw with Ajax last time out. Given the shifting momentum between the two mid-table teams, we anticipate Fortunezen coming out on top and stretching the gap on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
42.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 25.36% (0.032 0.03) 31.71% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.176 -0.18)48.33% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.161 -0.16)70.47% (0.166 0.17)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)55.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.164 -0.16)28.7% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)64.52% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 42.93%
    Fortuna Sittard 31.71%
    Draw 25.36%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Sparta vs Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
41.7%
Draw
31.3%
Fortuna Sittard
27.1%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Sittard
0-2
Sparta

Halilovic (50'), Rosier (90+4'), Peterson (90+3')
Mito (33'), Metinho (48')
van der Kust (37')
Feb 3, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 12
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Verschueren (26', 83'), Van Crooij (54' pen.)
Noslin (19')
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Sittard
3-0
Sparta
Seuntjens (10'), Gladon (35', 77')
Seuntjens (27')

Okoye (11'), de Kamps (33'), van Crooij (83')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!