Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
4 - 0
Sittard

Verschueren (28'), Lauritsen (58', 88'), Neghli (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
42.93% ( 0.09)	25.36% ( 0.03)	31.71% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.3% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-0.18)

48.33% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.53% (

-0.16)

70.47% (

0.17)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

-0.03)

22.45% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.02% (

-0.05)

55.98% (

0.05)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.16)

28.7% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

-0.21)

64.52% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 42.93%

Fortuna Sittard 31.71%

Draw 25.36%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.71%