/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Arno Verschueren
28'
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Arno Verschueren
47'
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Chuba Akpom
65'
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Steven Bergwijn
88'
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Kenneth Taylor
89'
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Ahmetcan Kaplan
90'+4'
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F11%2Fjohn-vant-schip.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result
Sparta Rotterdam
38.94%
▲
(+0.82)
Draw
22.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Ajax
38.98%
▼
(-0.77)
Both Teams to Score:
69.07%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.96%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
31.04%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
47.56%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 3.5
52.44%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 4.5
28.53%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 4.5
71.46%
▼
(-0.28)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
83.1%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 0.5
16.9%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 1.5
53.06%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 1.5
46.94%
▼
(-0.81)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
83.12%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
16.88%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
53.09%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
46.91%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
38.94%
Draw
22.08%
Ajax
38.98%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
@
8.02%
▲
(+0.08)
1-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.94%
1-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.94%
Draw
1-1
@
9.02%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.08%
2-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.08%
Ajax
1-2
@
8.03%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 38.98%
0-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 38.98%