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Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PEC Zwolle

Sparta
0 - 2
PEC Zwolle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lam (26'), van den Berg (70')
de Rooij (53'), Fichtinger (64'), Velanas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Vitesse
Friday, January 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 PEC Zwolle

There is little to choose between the sides and Sunday's encounter could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the home side to narrowly see off the threat of their visitors and come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
49.17% (0.588 0.59) 22.27% (-0.106 -0.11) 28.56% (-0.478 -0.48)
Both teams to score 64.34% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.35% (0.194 0.19)35.65% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.29% (0.213 0.21)57.71% (-0.207 -0.21)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (0.27300000000001 0.27)14.89% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (0.513 0.51)43.25% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.203 -0.2)24.41% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (-0.288 -0.29)58.84% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 49.17%
    PEC Zwolle 28.56%
    Draw 22.27%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Sparta vs PEC Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
PEC Zwolle
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
1-2
Sparta
Thy (82')
Kersten (90+7'), Vellios (90+5')
Kersten (13' og.), Lauritsen (70')
Warmerdam (33'), de Guzman (54'), Kitolano (57'), Bakari (68')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Sparta
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Auassar (3'), Van Crooij (24')
Abels (57'), Thy (63')

Clement (57')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Sparta
Redan (8')
Huiberts (56')
Van Crooij (1')
Smeets (81'), Goudmijn (88')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sparta
3-2
PEC Zwolle
Pinto (7'), Thy (75' pen., 90+3')
Beugelsdijk (26')
Van Polen (52'), Tedic (63')
Reijnders (57')
Sep 26, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
4-0
Sparta
Ghoochannejhad (45+5' pen., 47'), Leemans (54'), Nakayama (71')
Nakayama (33')

Auassar (45+2')
Pinto (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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