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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 66.63% ( | 18.32% ( | 15.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.04% ( | 34.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.05% ( | 56.95% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( | 9.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% ( | 32.4% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( | 72.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 4-1 @ 4.4% ( 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 5-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 4.37% Total : 66.63% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.32% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0-1 @ 3.58% ( 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 15.05% |