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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
| 26.66% ( | 23.35% ( | 49.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( | 42.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( | 64.63% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( | 29.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( | 65.05% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( | 17.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( | 47.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.66% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.99% |