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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 64.32% ( | 19.43% ( | 16.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( | 37.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( | 60.08% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( | 11.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.47% ( | 35.53% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.6% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% ( | 73.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 5-0 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 4.4% Total : 64.32% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.25% |