Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.