Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Sierhuis (37'), Lonwijk (59'), Da Cruz (90+1')
Oratmangoen (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thy (90+3')
El Azzouzi (21'), Thy (59'), van Polen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Sittard
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Volendam
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	PEC Zwolle
53.73% ( 0.14)	22.22%	24.04% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.56% (

-0.14)

39.43% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22% (

-0.15)

61.78% (

0.14)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.01)

14.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

-0.01)

42.91% (

0.01)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0.19)

29.66% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

-0.23)

65.71% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 53.73%

PEC Zwolle 24.04%

Draw 22.22%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.04%