AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
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Fortuna Sittard
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PSV
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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
PSV

Nijmegen
3 - 1
PSV

Schone (43' pen.), Sano (49'), Sow (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bakayoko (20')
Ramalho (10'), Veerman (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.49%) and 1-3 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawPSV Eindhoven
26.64% (0.062999999999999 0.06)21.3% (0.013999999999999 0.01)52.06% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 66.27% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.41% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)54.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.029000000000011 0.03)23.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.042999999999999 0.04)58.23% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)39.14% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    NEC 26.64%
    PSV Eindhoven 52.06%
    Draw 21.3%
NECDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.64%
1-1 @ 9.02% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.44% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 52.06%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs PSV

NEC
29.0%
Draw
12.9%
PSV Eindhoven
58.1%
31
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
PSV
4-0
Nijmegen
De Jong (37', 49' pen.), Lang (38'), Pepi (87' pen.)
de Jong (33')

Pereira (26'), Ross (62'), Dost (86')
Apr 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
2-4
PSV
Tannane (59', 87')
De Jong (7', 50'), Boscagli (21'), Veerman (39')
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
PSV
3-0
Nijmegen
El Ghazi (18'), De Jong (50' pen.), Madueke (84')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-2
Nijmegen
Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)
Dec 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-2
PSV
Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')
Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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