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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 44.37% ( | 23.25% ( | 32.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( | 38.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.42% ( | 60.57% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( | 48.3% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( | 57.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.93% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.38% |