Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.