Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.