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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 66.82% ( | 17.92% ( | 15.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.52% ( | 32.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.88% ( | 54.12% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( | 9.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.29% ( | 30.7% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( | 34.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 7.68% ( 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 4-1 @ 4.62% ( 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 5-1 @ 2.22% ( 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 5.03% Total : 66.82% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.92% | 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 15.26% |