Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen
  • Koki Ogawa 67' goal
  • Rober 68' goal

NEC vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 7.00pm
Volendam 2 - 5 Nijmegen
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Koki Ogawa

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 1.30pm
Heerenveen 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pelle van Amersfoort

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result

NEC 53.98% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 21.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Heerenveen 24.75% ▲ (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.36% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.94% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 34.06% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 44.06% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 3.5 55.94% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 4.5 25.5% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 4.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.39)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 87.2% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 12.8% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.55)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

NEC 53.98%
Draw 21.26%
Heerenveen 24.75%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
4-3 @ 1% ▲ (+98.99)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.26%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 24.75%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
May 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Heerenveen
  • Magnus Mattsson 37' goal
  • Landry Dimata 61' goal
  • goal Thom Haye 27'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 82'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Heerenveen
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Thom Haye 53' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 77' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edgar Barreto 8'
  • goal Elayis Tavsan 41'
  • yellowcard Bart van Rooij 73'
  • yellowcard Lasse Schone 90'+7'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Heerenveen
  • Ali Akman 53' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 72'
Eredivisie
Heerenveen
May 14, 2017 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Doke Schmidt 41' yellowcard
  • goal Arnaut Groeneveld 23'
  • yellowcard Julian von Haacke 28'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 64'
  • yellowcard Ali Messaoud 80'

Form Data

Volendam 2 - 5 Nijmegen
Cambuur 1 - 2 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 0 Sparta
Ajax 2 - 2 Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk 2 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 0 ADO Den Haag
Heerenveen 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle
Volendam 0 - 4 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 0 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen 3 - 2 Ajax
Sittard 3 - 3 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 2 - 2 AZ