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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen

Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Heerenveen

Both sides have had little trouble finding the back of the net of late, and we are expecting an entertaining clash. We can also see the hosts coming away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawHeerenveen
53.98% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.26% (0.146 0.15) 24.75% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 64.36% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)34.06% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-0.451 -0.45)55.94% (0.456 0.46)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)12.8% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)39.12% (0.547 0.55)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.98%
    Heerenveen 24.75%
    Draw 21.26%
NECDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

NEC
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
1-1
Nijmegen
Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
Dost (45+2')
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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