Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Heerenveen
53.98% ( -0.44)	21.26% ( 0.15)	24.75% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 64.36% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.94% (

-0.4)

34.06% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.06% (

-0.45)

55.94% (

0.46)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

-0.26)

12.8% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.88% (

-0.54)

39.12% (

0.55)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

26.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

61.28% (

Score Analysis

NEC 53.98%

Heerenveen 24.75%

Draw 21.26%

NEC	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 53.98%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.75%