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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.43%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 22.05% ( | 21.52% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( | 60.72% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( | 30.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( | 13.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( | 40.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 2-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 1-4 @ 3.28% ( 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0-5 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.43% |