Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.