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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 74.73% ( | 15.88% ( | 9.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.39% ( | 38.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( | 60.9% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.21% ( | 8.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.84% ( | 30.15% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% ( | 47.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% ( | 83.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-0 @ 12.41% ( 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 3-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 4-0 @ 6.12% ( 4-1 @ 4.52% ( 5-0 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 6-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 4.01% Total : 74.72% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 2-2 @ 3.39% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 15.88% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 9.38% |