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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 27.11% ( | 25.01% ( | 47.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( | 49.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( | 71.23% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( | 32.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( | 68.94% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( | 20.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( | 53.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 3-0 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.11% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.88% |