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Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
2 - 2
Almere City

Hornkamp (48' pen.), Hrustic (65')
van de Looi (28'), Roosken (34'), Sonnenberg (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cathline (19'), Robinet (35' pen.)
Barbet (27'), Koopmeiners (88'), van Duiven (90')
Robinet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawAlmere City
50.17% (-1.335 -1.34)23.12% (0.374 0.37)26.71% (0.963 0.96)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-0.918 -0.92)41.12% (0.92 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (-0.94 -0.94)63.51% (0.942 0.94)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.81 -0.81)16.55% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (-1.478 -1.48)46.32% (1.48 1.48)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.235 0.23)28.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.294 0.29)64.29% (-0.292 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 50.17%
    Almere City 26.71%
    Draw 23.12%
HeraclesDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.182 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.71%

How you voted: Heracles vs Almere City

Heracles
58.1%
Draw
19.4%
Almere City
22.6%
31
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 13
Almere City
0-5
Heracles
Sankoh (4', 64', 87'), Nankishi (71', 78')
Roosken (19'), Ouahim (62'), Wieckhoff (88')
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Heracles
1-1
Almere City
Laursen (45+3')
Pena (32')
Oct 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 13
Almere City
3-2
Heracles
Resink (48'), Alhaft (49'), Jacobs (67')
Armenteros (5'), Hansson (25')