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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 28.13% ( | 22.89% ( | 48.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% ( | 38.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( | 61.26% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( | 61.52% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( | 16.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 1-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.97% |