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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 75.09% ( | 15.99% ( | 8.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( | 40.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( | 63.12% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.77% ( | 9.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.78% ( | 31.22% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.78% ( | 50.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.19% ( | 84.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 13.15% ( 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 3-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 4-0 @ 6.23% ( 4-1 @ 4.29% ( 5-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 6-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 75.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 2-2 @ 3.12% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.99% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 8.92% |