Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.