/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
39'
-
Myron Boadu
54'
-
Justin Hoogma
17'
-
Fredrik Oppegard
43'
-
Thomas Bruns
81'
-
Navajo Bakboord
89'
FC Twente vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Ffootball-general-generic.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
85.02%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
9.95%
▼
(-0.03)
Heracles
5.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
48.3%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
25.58%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
54.32%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
45.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
34.82%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
65.18%
▼
(-0.10)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
95.84%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
4.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
82.63%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
17.36%
▼
(-0.07)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
50.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
49.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
15.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
84.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
FC Twente
85.02%
Draw
9.95%
Heracles
5.02%
FC Twente
3-0
@
11.05%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.42% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 85.02%
2-0 @ 10.42% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 85.02%
Draw
1-1
@
4.6%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 9.95%
2-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 9.95%
Heracles
1-2
@
1.61%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 5.02%
0-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 5.02%
