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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 33.21% ( | 23.26% ( | 43.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( | 38.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.7% ( | 60.29% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( | 22.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( | 56.52% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( | 17.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% ( | 48.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 43.53% |